I think this is quite nice on Ebay 105012

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Market is most definitely softening, this was a $12k watch 12 months ago, per Speedmaster 101.

Expectations need to be reset accordingly.
The market is doing what efficient markets do...this was not a perfect example (nice, but not collector grade) and with sales tax added on top, it ended up at $11K. Perhaps a good buy for the buyer, but to extrapolate a harsh softening based on outcomes like this is somewhat myopic, in my opinion.
 
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I’m certainly no expert like most on this forum, however, if you think the market is as strong as 12-18 months ago, you’re mistaken. No way could you buy a pre-moon under $7k, which is now readily available. The Speedy market certainly isn’t going up, and was mostly going side ways for a good bit. Now I definitely see it trending lower, not just b/c of one ebay sale as you point out. Even the coveted mint DONs which were fetching close to $5k are trending lower.

This is not specific to Speedmaster, vintage Rolex is also in somewhat of a sideways trend as well.

Heck, who am I here to make this observation, as I said there are plenty resident experts here who I’m sure point out I’m wrong.

One thing for sure, my gut isn’t wrong many times.
Edited:
 
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Expectations need to be reset accordingly.

As does the price chart...seems to increase no matter what the market does...
 
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I’m certainly no expert like most on this forum, however, if you think the market is as strong as 12-18 months ago, you’re mistaken. No way could you buy a pre-moon under $7k, which is now readily available. The Speedy market certainly isn’t going up, and was mostly going side ways for a good bit. Now I definitely see it trending lower, not just b/c of one ebay sale as you point out. Even the coveted mint DONs which were fetching close to $5k are trending lower.

This is not specific to Speedmaster, vintage Rolex is also in somewhat of a sideways trend as well.

Heck, who am I here to make this observation, as I said there are plenty resident experts here who I’m sure point out I’m wrong.

One thing for sure, my gut isn’t wrong many times.
I agrée with you, I think that collector grade watches still fetch high (although lower than 12m age) prices whereas very nice watches have softened
 
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I’m certainly no expert like most on this forum, however, if you think the market is as strong as 12-18 months ago, you’re mistaken. No way could you buy a pre-moon under $7k, which is now readily available. The Speedy market certainly isn’t going up, and was mostly going side ways for a good bit. Now I definitely see it trending lower, not just b/c of one ebay sale as you point out. Even the coveted mint DONs which were fetching close to $5k are trending lower.
I think there's a difference between "as strong as it was 12-18 months ago" and "as blind as it was..." (and would also argue that the "peak" of speculative purchases was probably in 2017/early 2018). For example, 3-4 years ago, Speedy buyers were not as discerning when it came to quality examples versus average examples, and anything that was a "pre-moon" or "straight lug" was fetching a high price (for that time) regardless of condition due almost purely to speculation that Speedmasters were the next big thing. Since then, with continued exposure and education, the gap between great examples and mediocre ones has widened from a value perspective. I do not think the realized prices of "Good" examples have diverged that much from early 2018 prices - what has widened is the gap between "Excellent" examples and normal ones. A collector grade 105.012-66CB can fetch in the $20K range today, but average CB's have not changed much / have slightly declined. In 2016, there were no CBs selling for $20K, I can almost guarantee you that. Buyers are simply getting smarter and realizing that if they're going to spend that much money, it's going to be on a faultless example.

While I do not try to extract every ounce of profit from opportunistic watch purchases that I sell on ("fast nickels over slow dimes"), I feel that Speedies that are priced realistically sell quite fast, while people trying to extract every penny from their "Good" examples tend to see much longer / more arduous sales. Some of my examples from the past 18-24 months below, which do not differ materially from prices today (and in some cases were lower):

https://omegaforums.net/threads/omega-speedmaster-professional-105-012-65-serviced.70695/
https://omegaforums.net/threads/omega-speedmaster-105-003-64-fully-serviced.68637/
https://omegaforums.net/threads/omega-speedmaster-145-022-68-transitional.90828/
https://omegaforums.net/threads/vintage-omega-speedmaster-145-022-74-step-dial.93011/

For examples that are in good condition, are fresh to market, and are sold at a realistic price level, demand remains very high. This is from my own experience, but I would wager that many dealers / collectors on here would agree. I didn't mean to write such a long form response, but I've seen the same rhetoric a lot recently in this forum and I don't feel that it's totally warranted in many cases.
 
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I think your examples are not the norm but the exception which is why your watches sell quickly. You price them aggressively and they fly off the shelf. I don’t disagree that the price of the top ended market is different than the rest, but thats only reflective of a small sliver of the market place. My comment is more directly tied to watches that appear on eBay or here which most of the time are average/slightly above average condition. Yes, there are at times exceptional pieces that come up, but those are far and few in between.

by no means is this rhetoric, it’s reality.
 
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I think your examples are not the norm but the exception which is why your watches sell quickly. You price them aggressively and they fly off the shelf. I don’t disagree that the price of the top ended market is different than the rest, but thats only reflective of a small sliver of the market place. My comment is more directly tied to watches that appear on eBay or here which most of the time are average/slightly above average condition. Yes, there are at times exceptional pieces that come up, but those are far and few in between.

by no means is this rhetoric, it’s reality.
All fair points, don't have anything more to add 👍
 
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Maybe a dumb question but here goes: is a great collector grade speedy essentially one with a great case, dial, and all original parts? Or are we talking specific provenance (eg., original owner watch etc)?
I think it’s the former, but I’m asking as I hunt down excellent examples myself
 
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Maybe a dumb question but here goes: is a great collector grade speedy essentially one with a great case, dial, and all original parts? Or are we talking specific provenance (eg., original owner watch etc)?
I think it’s the former, but I’m asking as I hunt down excellent examples myself
Some may have great stories attached to them, but ultimately it is condition and originality that dictates desirability. A collector will always want it as close to how it came from the factory. Obviously there is going to be a certain amount of ageing, with some being more attractive than others. Tropical dials will also be sought after.
 
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Some may have great stories attached to them, but ultimately it is condition and originality that dictates desirability. A collector will always want it as close to how it came from the factory. Obviously there is going to be a certain amount of ageing, with some being more attractive than others. Tropical dials will also be sought after.

ok good then I have a chance to find a collector grade example because true, verifiable original owner watches have been hard to source for mere mortals
 
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ok good then I have a chance to find a collector grade example because true, verifiable original owner watches have been hard to source for mere mortals
I would suggest getting the Moonwatch Only book in that case, if you don’t already have it. That will help negotiate the minefield of determining originality.
 
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Who has got a collector grade Speedmaster? 1957-71 Please show me 👍

If I think I know what one is then I have only seen very small numbers over many years, a few on here but very rarely do I see any for sale.

Always great to see Mike's watches which I consider as my idea of collector grade but any other collector grade Speedmasters out there?

Don't be shy!
 
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Who has got a collector grade Speedmaster? 1957-71 Please show me 👍

If I think I know what one is then I have only seen very small numbers over many years, a few on here but very rarely do I see any for sale.

Always great to see Mike's watches which I consider as my idea of collector grade but any other collector grade Speedmasters out there?

Don't be shy!
So far the NOS 2998 from Mike is the best I have ever seen. Also wanna see excellent condition examples that fit the new category from speedmaster101 site
 
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Who has got a collector grade Speedmaster? 1957-71 Please show me 👍

If I think I know what one is then I have only seen very small numbers over many years, a few on here but very rarely do I see any for sale.

Always great to see Mike's watches which I consider as my idea of collector grade but any other collector grade Speedmasters out there?

Don't be shy!
Probably not such an big exercise to use the Search function to find the real nice gems here on OF.
 
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Probably not such an big exercise to use the Search function to find the real nice gems here on OF.

I know how to use the search function thank you and I think I have seen most of the Speedmaster threads going back a long time.

What I wanted to see is how many (considered) collector grade Speedmasters are around on this forum or that have been seen anywhere else, very very few I should imagine.
 
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So far the NOS 2998 from Mike is the best I have ever seen.

I'm curious to see a picture of the said watch. Amongst the 52,769 members on the forum, who is "Mike"?
 
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I think the comments on the condition divide is the most important as it relates to how the market has changed in just the last year or two- buyers of $$$ vintage watches are becoming much more discriminating. Just watching the market in regards to one of my pieces- a Rolex 16750, 2 years ago you could throw a beater up at top dollar and someone would grab it. But now you see the beaters sit and the best examples still climb to the stratosphere. I think sellers need to become more realistic about what they have and acknowledge that the market isn’t soft- it’s just your watch isn’t that good. That said, a mid-grade piece will still move fast if priced aggressively, it just takes the seller being able to have a little humility about their piece and let the market decide what it’s worth (like the OP watch).
 
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I'm curious to see a picture of the said watch. Amongst the 52,769 members on the forum, who is "Mike"?
@MSNWatch
If you’ve never seen it, just wow.
 
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I'd love to make a scatterplot which shows how many people think market is "soft" or "strong" along with how many Speedmasters they own. I'm not sure I could be intellectually honest enough to say market has softened if I had 10+ Speedmasters in my collection.