ibis888
·OP - where did you end up on your submariner journey?
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Let me ask a [stupid] question but how many of you would feel comfortable taking a 1990 14060 on a beach vacation, in and out of the water snorkeling? On one hand it's a Submariner, built for this and MUCH more. On the other it's a 35 year old neo vintage watch.
I assume if serviced and pressure tested no issues at all? I personally love the vintage look, but would really need to take my Sub into salt water worry free. Which is a reason the older and more valuable Subs are less appealing to me.
I picked up a tritium 14060 (1991-ish, IIRC) in an auction in 2021 because I thought it would be good to have a relatively modern Sub for rainy days. Unfortunately, I bought at the peak and got an average example for $10k. I think it was probably my worst watch purchase ever in terms of overpaying. Not that I overpaid at the time, but the value has dropped so much since then.
I was doing some quick math today and realized that the price of Submariners hit a historic low this year.
In June 1997, while gold averaged $340/ounce, a brand new 14060 retailed for $2800 at Tourneau. Today, gold is at $4900/ounce, a brand new 124060 retails for $10,500.
In other words:
A Sub in 1997 cost 8.2 ounces of gold
A Sub today only costs 2.05 ounces of gold
In 2021 was the time to sell watches and buy gold. Today is the time to sell gold and buy watches. It's a such no-brainer. Subs at historic low people !!!! The price of 5513s drives me insane. So many unbelievable deals even on eBay. Watches are cheap right now, very cheap.
This is obviously due to the unprecedented increase in the price of gold and is not an indication that Subs are inexpensive. A more typical analysis would use inflation to adjust $2800 in 1997 to current prices, which would be $5600, not making Subs look so cheap.
More importantly, whether or not you think Subs are cheap at the moment, there's not guarantee that they will go up instead of down further.
Granted. Sub prices can definitely go down further.
However, inflation numbers measured in dollar do not mean much. Remember what J.P. Morgan used to say: gold is money, the rest is credit. It's been true for thousands of years...
The seemingly unprecedented increase in the price of gold is correlated to the unprecedented depreciation of the dollar these past 5 years. The price of gold is just being re-adjusted to where it should be. The stock market pretty much doubled these past 3 years while the price of watches went down. That's another indication that we live in unprecedented times.
Granted. Sub prices can definitely go down further.
However, inflation numbers measured in dollar do not mean much. Remember what J.P. Morgan used to say: gold is money, the rest is credit. It's been true for thousands of years...
The seemingly unprecedented increase in the price of gold is correlated to the unprecedented depreciation of the dollar these past 5 years. The price of gold is just being re-adjusted to where it should be. The stock market pretty much doubled these past 3 years while the price of watches went down. That's another indication that we live in unprecedented times.
Let me ask a [stupid] question but how many of you would feel comfortable taking a 1990 14060 on a beach vacation, in and out of the water snorkeling? On one hand it's a Submariner, built for this and MUCH more. On the other it's a 35 year old neo vintage watch.
I assume if serviced and pressure tested no issues at all? I personally love the vintage look, but would really need to take my Sub into salt water worry free. Which is a reason the older and more valuable Subs are less appealing to me.
I picked up a tritium 14060 (1991-ish, IIRC) in an auction in 2021 because I thought it would be good to have a relatively modern Sub for rainy days. Unfortunately, I bought at the peak and got an average example for $10k. I think it was probably my worst watch purchase ever in terms of overpaying. Not that I overpaid at the time, but the value has dropped so much since then.
If I were a betting person I'd say he landed on an early 90's 14060 with tritium. Good mix of practicality and vintage appeal. That's what I would get (and plan to at some point).