If you look at the Swatch group annual report, it will shed some light on the situation...
"Production companies in the Habillage sector (cases, dials, watch hands, etc.) worked at or even above capacity limits, which led to significant delivery delays, mainly for products for Omega and Longines."
But it looks like they are working on things...
"Outlook for 2019
The Swatch Group anticipates healthy growth in 2019, despite the strong comparison basis in the first half of 2018. Demand is good and production problems and bottlenecks, particularly in the Habillage sector, will be resolved in the first semester."
So it appears you should start seeing some relief in the delays this year. I think it's difficult to precisely determine what sales will be across all brands in the Swatch group, and since they all share common suppliers (suppliers within the Swatch group, not third parties as you have suggested) they would have to prioritize what gets made and what gets delayed. I would think delays in a model like this would have a much smaller impact than they would with a new SMP or Speedmaster model, or even a Constellation that are apparently very popular in Asia. So if I was making the choice, I would be delaying this one rather than a bread and butter product.
Ramping up production to meet spikes in demand isn't easy - I've been there many times as an engineer under pressure to get a new manufacturing line running, or to come up with ideas to make the existing line more efficient while not sacrificing quality. It's easy to judge harshly when you are on the outside and not the people who are under the gun to get things done...
Saying they should be planning better is true, but only to a point. Sometimes there is no quick fix.
Cheers, Al
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