Is Rolex Boring Anybody Else?

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Lets say Rolex tries a completely new design. What happens if it does not resonate in the market and it does not sell because it is against typical Rolex market? It might have to find its way onto the liquidated market which erodes your brand value proposition and pricing power.

An example would be in the 80s you could buy Gucci at Marshalls!
Yes it's mine. Kinda like it though on the stretched jubilee.. I have some worn out vintage leather natos but I'll have to say that I prefer the jubilee for the most part. I'll post some more pictures later on if that's of interest 😀


No interest in you posting more pictures! I do not need to want another watch. Already wanting that one...........
 
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Still incorrect......it is anecdotal evidence but heavily cited that a majority of watch makers choose to wear Rolex
uhm, I’ve often heard that JLC is “the watchmaker’s watch”. now that sounds like a marketing line but I definitely heard that more often than Rolex. anyway, watchmakers probably wear whatever they like just like everyone else.
 
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uhm, I’ve often heard that JLC is “the watchmaker’s watch”. now that sounds like a marketing line but I definitely heard that more often than Rolex. anyway, watchmakers probably wear whatever they like just like everyone else.

Of course. They have their daily wearers and favourites like everyone else.
 
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I think going back to the original intent of the post....yes Rolex may seem boring from an outsiders perspective...yet iconic design has proven timeless and those that stick to general brand aesthetics tend to endure over time and can generally retain price points and margins they need. By introducing designs to far outside their aesthetic they will dilute the brand.

Lets go back to the Porsche example.......it took them forever to get into the SUV market. They have done well with the SUV but it still looks like a porsche. While a Porsche from yesteryear does not look exactly like a modern porsche you can still tell it is Porsche and not Ferrari.

Here here! As they say in the UK.
 
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Yes it is part of people decision process. I have not done this for Rolex but generally people have many decisions that go into buying...and you try to capture them as best you can using structure equation modeling. Bad example but if someone is buying deodorant they consider what is important to them and eight has a weightage in the buying criteria. Price, form (roller, solid), protection, sent etc....then the brand tailor the message to meet those buying criteria.

Rolex is about heritage, perception of utility , prestige......again this is all hypothesis but I can 100% guarantee you Rolex has done this research. If someone buys an expensive watch the Rolex buyer (generally) wants that to be timeless. A Rolex never looks dated!

I will go out on a limb and say Hublot design will slow...and when it does they will find their way onto pre-owned market devaluing pricing power and new models will find themselves on sales sites also hurting the brand.

Here is broader market exposure to prove the point. Rolex, Omega and Breitling are all featured. The Rolex from 70s and 80s command higher dollar then other brands from years 2000+.

We are not talking about true vintage, hard to get references here.

https://www.touchofmodern.com/sales/vintage-watch-finds


The watch enthusiast community is a small % of a Rolex, Omega revenues. They entry level first and only time buyer is what keeps the massive scale they enjoy.
 
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They have done well with the SUV but it still looks like a porsche.
Oh god no. They have not.
 
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Lets say Rolex tries a completely new design. What happens if it does not resonate in the market and it does not sell because it is against typical Rolex market? It might have to find its way onto the liquidated market which erodes your brand value proposition and pricing power.

An example would be in the 80s you could buy Gucci at Marshalls!



No interest in you posting more pictures! I do not need to want another watch. Already wanting that one...........

The thing is, the watches people didn't buy in the 50s, 60s, 70s.. are some of the watches that are rare pieces now. Take the Milgauss for example. Rolex sold that watch for about two-three years and almost gave them away in the end, that watch is now one of the most desirable and sells for 20-40,000usd.. sometimes even more. So I would actually say, when it comes to Rolex, the less popular new modells today will fetch money in the future.
 
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The thing is, the watches people didn't buy in the 50s, 60s, 70s.. are some of the watches that are rare pieces now. Take the Milgauss for example. Rolex sold that watch for about two-three years and almost gave them away in the end, that watch is now one of the most desirable and sells for 20-40,000usd.. sometimes even more. So I would actually say, when it comes to Rolex, the less popular new modells today will fetch money in the future.

I hope you're right for the sake of my polar Explorer II🙄
 
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I hope you're right for the sake of my polar Explorer II🙄
Ehum, wouldn't hope for to much there 😉

Interesting tho is that Rolex has come up with newer versions of almost every watch they made 30-40 years ago and still, no one is calling them re-issues..
 
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Opinions on liking, hating, boring, exciting design are just that....we all have em....

in US at least Porsche did well with the SUV sales. You can still hate the design. I dont particularly like it either.

http://press.porsche.com/news/release.php?id=837


Well they had a niche to fill. I suspect the Cayenne exceeded expectations.
 
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Lets say Rolex tries a completely new design. What happens if it does not resonate in the market and it does not sell because it is against typical Rolex market? It might have to find its way onto the liquidated market which erodes your brand value proposition and pricing power.

They have done that already, with the exact results you predict (for those models). I take it you might not be familiar with the Cellini line. These are not Oyster cases, but more dress watches with little water resistance, and none of the styling that comes to mind when people think of Rolex. They don't sell all that well, and drop their prices significantly in the used market.

Rolex is about heritage, perception of utility , prestige......again this is all hypothesis but I can 100% guarantee you Rolex has done this research. If someone buys an expensive watch the Rolex buyer (generally) wants that to be timeless. A Rolex never looks dated!

You should check the Cellini models from the mid-2000's or there abouts like this one:

http://www.chrono24.com/ca/rolex/ce...&models=43&manufacturerIds=221&usedOrNew=used

Being "dated" is quite subjective, but these certainly do look so to my eyes. These watches go for a fraction of what they cost new.

The watch enthusiast community is a small % of a Rolex, Omega revenues. They entry level first and only time buyer is what keeps the massive scale they enjoy.

Yes of course - the vast majority of first time buyers of these mid-tier brands are not aware of what they are buying, and sometimes this is on a very basic level. This is why you see questions like "Why did my watch stop when I took it off for the weekend?" or "Why doesn't this expensive Rolex keep time as well as my cheap quartz does?" posted on watch forums from new owners. They know nothing of history, technical advantages, etc. but only know that if you want a good watch, buy a Rolex, because that's what the commercials say...they buy on name only.

Cheers, Al
 
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The thing is, the watches people didn't buy in the 50s, 60s, 70s.. are some of the watches that are rare pieces now. Take the Milgauss for example. Rolex sold that watch for about two-three years and almost gave them away in the end, that watch is now one of the most desirable and sells for 20-40,000usd.. sometimes even more. So I would actually say, when it comes to Rolex, the less popular new modells today will fetch money in the future.

Yes that is true but somehow they kept those out of the liquidation market. Either it was never produced in high quantity or they ate the inventory.
 
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Yes familiar with the Celini line.....will be interesting to see what happens with it. Used market is different then the liquidation market.

Can the failure of Celini hurt the Rolex brand? Not sure if will have that halo effect given what they brand is really known for. It could if it finds its way onto the liquidation market. Rolex being a private company is not as concerned with short term profit. It is why they have such tight controls over retail price. Around 2001 you could get a 50% off coupon for authorized Omega dealer. It is what I used and got into watches! If the Celini does not sell they will not be forced to liquidate the assets. Swatch being public does not have that luxury. They will discount new models and have done so in the past....or sell them to liquidators. Different then the used pre-owned market. Can certainly do a drivers analysis on prices of pre-owned market and its effect on new sales volume and price elasticity. Great idea!
 
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If they dramatically changed the submariner, explorer, oyster lines.....well that is different story. Dont have the official figures but sure Cellini is very smart part of their volume. Yes that looks dated and that is my point. and most likely a key reason it has not taken off....not timeless design.
 
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Yes familiar with the Celini line.....will be interesting to see what happens with it. Used market is different then the liquidation market.

Can the failure of Celini hurt the Rolex brand? Not sure if will have that halo effect given what they brand is really known for. It could if it finds its way onto the liquidation market. Rolex being a private company is not as concerned with short term profit. It is why they have such tight controls over retail price. Around 2001 you could get a 50% off coupon for authorized Omega dealer. It is what I used and got into watches! If the Celini does not sell they will not be forced to liquidate the assets. Swatch being public does not have that luxury. They will discount new models and have done so in the past....or sell them to liquidators. Different then the used pre-owned market. Can certainly do a drivers analysis on prices of pre-owned market and its effect on new sales volume and price elasticity. Great idea!
The Cellini line is not exactly new...40 years...whatever was going to happen has happened already
Edited:
 
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Yes familiar with the Celini line.....will be interesting to see what happens with it. Used market is different then the liquidation market.

Can the failure of Celini hurt the Rolex brand? Not sure if will have that halo effect given what they brand is really known for. It could if it finds its way onto the liquidation market. Rolex being a private company is not as concerned with short term profit. It is why they have such tight controls over retail price. Around 2001 you could get a 50% off coupon for authorized Omega dealer. It is what I used and got into watches! If the Celini does not sell they will not be forced to liquidate the assets. Swatch being public does not have that luxury. They will discount new models and have done so in the past....or sell them to liquidators. Different then the used pre-owned market. Can certainly do a drivers analysis on prices of pre-owned market and its effect on new sales volume and price elasticity. Great idea!

Rolex "liquidates" their slow movers by forcing them on the AD's, who are contractually bound to accept and pay for whatever Rolex sends to them, whether they want it or not. They are not known as the big green bully of the watch world for nothing, but having said that many brands operate this way.

Those AD's then flip them to the grey market, and I'm sure they are happy if they get what Rolex charges them for these models and other slow sellers.
 
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The Cellini line is not exactly new...40 years...whatever was going to happen has happened already

Exactly.
 
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I am convinced......Rolex is just boring....they have no idea what they are doing...it is all an accident and branding has no place in the world. People do not behave in predictable ways..........data and science be damned.