Looking at the movement, the rotor has been scraping on the case back - you can see the evidence on both. Based on that, I'd say your prediction is unlikely. Usually when the movement gets this far, there are other things that are worn as well. Very few of these ever come into my shop (55X. 56X, and 75X) that don't need parts, particularly in the automatic winding. And yes, those parts are expensive, and getting more expensive all the time.
Movement segue - does this mean that servicing something like the Geneve's that have the 565 movement can be prohibitively expensive compared to their overall value? I recently picked up one in a trade with the neighbor but it needs a replacement omega crown and stem, along with a service. I haven't popped the back open yet.
Yes. Unfortunately. You can easily land with a £500 bill for a £400 watch these days even if you use an Indy. The economics of doing the right thing by a lower value watches mean that they work better for collectors who are prepared to pay for their hobby than amateur traders who are not. There was a time not so long ago when a passable service could be got for £100-200. That is no longer the case if anything whatsoever needs replacing. It doesn't bode well for the future of less collectible mechanical watches as many will never be serviced again.
Yes. Unfortunately. You can easily land with a £500 bill for a £400 watch these days even if you use an Indy. The economics of doing the right thing by a lower value watches mean that they work better for collectors who are prepared to pay for their hobby than amateur traders who are not. There was a time not so long ago when a passable service could be got for £100-200. That is no longer the case if anything whatsoever needs replacing. It doesn't bode well for the future of less collectible mechanical watches as many will never be serviced again.