Riviera Paradise
·From what I have seen on the OF and other watch forums, what many posters seem to be speculating on is whether the shortage is driven by self-imposed market restriction factors or because of new Basel 2018 product launches affecting the Rolex SS sports range.
My 2C...
If there is a general shortage of SS sports watches right now including Subs, GMTs, Explorer 2 etc., IMO it is probably not due to some major launch in Basel 2018. I find it highly unlikely that Rolex would do a general movement swap to the 3255 across the SS Sports range. I just cannot see Rolex doing an Omega shotgun tactic and launching a huge no. of new SS sports SKUs in the same year...that has never been the "Rolex way".
Rolex can easily milk a new 3255 Sub in 2018 and then milk again a new 3255 derived GMT in 2019. A new Sub with a new movement and some small change to the case will be enough to get them center stage of attention at Basel 2018...and rain on Omega's parade for the new Seamaster range.
So I would bet more on some logistics/distribution/imminent price increase factor rather than a series new 2018 SS sports product launches as the root cause of the current shortage across the whole SS sports range.
Normally Rolex Passion Report gets some exclusive previews two/one week before Basel 2018 so we might not even have to wait for 1st day of Basel to know for sure. I do suspect that Rolex are going to have a very strong 2018, which would be compatible with their normal two year cycle of very strong, attention grabbing product releases.
My 2C...
If there is a general shortage of SS sports watches right now including Subs, GMTs, Explorer 2 etc., IMO it is probably not due to some major launch in Basel 2018. I find it highly unlikely that Rolex would do a general movement swap to the 3255 across the SS Sports range. I just cannot see Rolex doing an Omega shotgun tactic and launching a huge no. of new SS sports SKUs in the same year...that has never been the "Rolex way".
Rolex can easily milk a new 3255 Sub in 2018 and then milk again a new 3255 derived GMT in 2019. A new Sub with a new movement and some small change to the case will be enough to get them center stage of attention at Basel 2018...and rain on Omega's parade for the new Seamaster range.
So I would bet more on some logistics/distribution/imminent price increase factor rather than a series new 2018 SS sports product launches as the root cause of the current shortage across the whole SS sports range.
Normally Rolex Passion Report gets some exclusive previews two/one week before Basel 2018 so we might not even have to wait for 1st day of Basel to know for sure. I do suspect that Rolex are going to have a very strong 2018, which would be compatible with their normal two year cycle of very strong, attention grabbing product releases.