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Burrogs
·I think the ultimate goal may be to reduce the grey market supply and offer direct sales via the internet and OBs. When everyone assumes they can take 20% off the top it dilutes the value of the brand and subsequent resale value. Maybe they are working off the inventory of 1861s and will not offer the next gen 3861s on the grey market.
IMO, Rolex is popular because people view it as a store of value and potential investment opportunity. Objectively, they are not superior watches to many other less expensive makes. Many people buy them because TODAY they are seen as a safe use of funds (relatively speaking). When a strong grey market exists for a brand the impression is they are overpriced at the AD and that you'd be a fool to buy one there at full retail. The downstream effects are that if the brand doesn't have strong initial sale value, then the resale value should be equally poor. If Omega and other brands held the line on distribution and discounts it would raise the price of the watches, but I believe it would also raise the residual value on them, and may actually increase sales as people see another "safe" option at a similar price point.
I think we have to ask the question that if every watch held it's value like a Rolex, would Rolex be as popular/sell as many watches as they do today? I posit that they would not. If you could buy Submariners and Pepsi's all day long on Jomashop for 25% off retail, the demand, ultimately for them would go down, as would the resale value. When you're forking over between $5-10k on a watch, you want to feel like you've made a solid purchase. Right now, the only way people feel like they've made a solid purchase on an Omega is to get one new at a deep discount so they don't take it in the shorts later on if they sell it.
My $0.02
IMO, Rolex is popular because people view it as a store of value and potential investment opportunity. Objectively, they are not superior watches to many other less expensive makes. Many people buy them because TODAY they are seen as a safe use of funds (relatively speaking). When a strong grey market exists for a brand the impression is they are overpriced at the AD and that you'd be a fool to buy one there at full retail. The downstream effects are that if the brand doesn't have strong initial sale value, then the resale value should be equally poor. If Omega and other brands held the line on distribution and discounts it would raise the price of the watches, but I believe it would also raise the residual value on them, and may actually increase sales as people see another "safe" option at a similar price point.
I think we have to ask the question that if every watch held it's value like a Rolex, would Rolex be as popular/sell as many watches as they do today? I posit that they would not. If you could buy Submariners and Pepsi's all day long on Jomashop for 25% off retail, the demand, ultimately for them would go down, as would the resale value. When you're forking over between $5-10k on a watch, you want to feel like you've made a solid purchase. Right now, the only way people feel like they've made a solid purchase on an Omega is to get one new at a deep discount so they don't take it in the shorts later on if they sell it.
My $0.02