Agreed with all said here. Sometimes, when trying to 'snag a deal', people get carried away in their lust, and miss the bigger picture : if the watch is great, and they are hard to come by, then find another similar one at the 'deal' price (I have learnt this the hard way, with a few watches I still kick myself over missing out because of trying too hard to 'snag a deal').
Also, I can't help to feel that the '-30%' low-ball is a purely psychological thing ... people think they are scoring if they can push a listed price down. Not all sellers compensate for this mentality! I know I don't. If this watch were listed at 1500, most certainly the OP would have offered 1200 ... and been happy had his offer been accepted.
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