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6139 Pogue.. It's all over ?

  1. collector1946 Dec 16, 2021

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    After many years in collecting, servicing and selling these fatastic 6139's I have to say "I think the bubble has burst" this last couple of years has seen me sell many True Pogues from £1250 in 2018 to £2850 in early 2021, aswell as many Proof and Resist models, but the sheer amount of "fake" parts and dishonest listings have taken the toll on buyers.... it seems that buyers are so confused to what is genuine and fake, it has put buyers off and prices and sales of genuine or fako's have just about become identical. A good Proof/Resisit was £1500-£2000 now it's £600-£700.

    What do you think ?
     
    Edited Dec 16, 2021
  2. gatorcpa ΩF InvestiGator Staff Member Dec 16, 2021

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    That you are correct.

    If you can’t tell the fake from the real thing, what good is either?
    gatorcpa
     
  3. TDBK Dec 16, 2021

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    This certainly describes me. I own two authentic (AFAIK) but not "True" Pogues, and have no interest in the effort and cost to source a good True Pogue; I wear and enjoy the ones I have and that's enough.
     
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  4. Walrus Dec 16, 2021

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    Seems like vintage seikos in general are falling into this category but the tomfoolery going on with pouges is next level
     
  5. pdxleaf ... Dec 16, 2021

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    I haven't seen resists for 600 pounds but would buy a 6139-6005 resist in decent shape for that. Perhaps I am not looking in the right place or perhaps it's different in the states.

    It does take a lot more research than it seems worthwhile. I still like the watch. The spinning internal ring is fun, as are the push in crown day date adjustments. The dial color is attractive and it's comfortable on my wrist. I sold mine to a friend but still miss it. I have one tell that I search for that it seems the replicas haven't figured out yet, but it's definitely tough to figure out. Maybe I am being tricked but I think they aren't exact yet. Agree that it changes the equation and is annoying. Prices coming down isn't a bad thing.
     
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  6. collector1946 Dec 16, 2021

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    $500 for a resist dial
    https://www.ebay.com/itm/234335584259?hash=item368f7d4003:g:uFcAAOSw-uBhuTdGPurchases made through these links may earn this site a commission from the eBay Partner Network
     
  7. pdxleaf ... Dec 16, 2021

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    Thanks. Now you got me going back down the rabbit hole.

    Don't have time to dig into it now but the first thing I look for looks suspect. It's also beat and it's not a 6005 true Pogue.

    But your point about the price drop seems correct. Maybe I need to start looking again.
     
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  8. collector1946 Dec 16, 2021

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    Buy it.
     
  9. pdxleaf ... Dec 16, 2021

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    Just for the record, here is the real Pogue for comparison (also a 6139-6005). The 499 watch has 6030T, which is how people realized Pogue's watch was actually a dash 6005.
    pogue-seiko-6139.jpg
    The 499 didn't have a 17J, which is suspect, but I would have to go back and read some more. Even though the lume looks old and molded, which makes it seem original, the sub-dial is problematic to me. Not saying it's a redial yet, but without better pictures I wouldn't bet it's original yet either. In it's condition it probably needs a $600 service. Even then, it's beat to crap. ( the ebay one, that is.)

    I would rather have a nice non-Pogue than a 500 beat up one.
    20210227_153539.jpg
    However, I would still like to have a good original for under 1k, which i don't think is possible (yet?)
     
  10. tritto Dec 16, 2021

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    If the $499 dial is fake then someone has gone to a lot of effort to make it grungy and unattractive. I'm leaning towards the dial being legit, although I can't say if it's original to the watch. However, I don't like the rotating inner bezel. There are some off signs. I'm leaning towards the exterior bezel being legit. I thought the tapered bracelets weren't introduced as early as 1973, but I could be wrong. My August 73 model has a straight bracelet.
     
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  11. pdxleaf ... Dec 16, 2021

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    I agree. I sent you a PM on what bothers me. It's not completely clear in this case. It's clearer on others, but this one I could go either way.

    ]
     
  12. bardamu Dec 17, 2021

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    Sadly I totally agree.
    No interest in hunting for more vintage seikos, too much effort, it is no longer worth it in my opinion. Planning to keep the ones I already have and looking for something else.
     
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  13. SpeedyPhill Founder Of Aussie Cricket Blog Mark Waugh Universe Dec 17, 2021

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    That's why I stick to that other " First automatic chronograph in space " : Movado Datachron HS-360 as worn by Commander Gerald Carr on the very same Skylab SL-4 mission from 16 November 1973 to 8 February 1974...
    These "El Primero" powered high frequency (36000 VPH - Vibrations Per HOur = 5 Hertz) Datachron versions have become unicorns...
    It looks like these patinated from blue dial to chocolate dial as can be seen in the photographs below showing the Datachron during SL-04 recovery onboard USS New Orleans in February 1974 and the actual watch 47 years later in 2021 !
    .
    1974_DataChron_.jpg
    .
    47 years later: CommanderCarr's Movado Datachron HS360 automatic chronograph with screw-down crown owned by his daughter in 2021
    . (Photo: Hodinkee)
    2021_MovadoDataChron_Carr.jpg
     
  14. Gav1967 Tend not to fret too much Dec 17, 2021

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  15. Wlcutter Dec 17, 2021

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    I've tracked Pogues (and 6139-6005s more broadly) for the last several years. I'm mostly with OP that the prices seem to have softened a bit *generally*, but I'd disagree that they're softening much for True Pogues. The $499 linked-to watch is tatty, and it's a 6002; no one I know who's interested in a TP would bother. I think the yellow-dialed 6139 market, as a whole, has cooled off (which is good). I think legit and original True Pogues are stable, and will continue to climb, but maybe that's just me.
     
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  16. collector1946 Dec 17, 2021

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    I'm very aware of that Ebay link not being a True Pogue, It's in reply to the "I've never seen a resist for less than £600" given the photo's and brief description it's 100% original, but not a great example although the dial looks very good, it has a few "black spots" this is due to a reaction with the silver plating and yellow laquer used at the time, also the chrono clutch will need replacing (as per description on reset), the chapter ring is UV damaged and has been handled. Would I buy it ? yes you won't find one better for less, and I would service it and fit the parts needed but my time is over with these, There is a 6139-6005 True Pogue by another seller he will accept $2k, it has "been serviced" as per description and had a new aftermarket crystal fitted, but all looks good It may have had the triangle on the chapter ring re lumed.
     
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  17. collector1946 Dec 17, 2021

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    This is the last one I sold.
     
    IMG_6094.JPG
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  18. pdxleaf ... Dec 19, 2021

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    I was wrong. The 6002 didn't have the 17j and the portion of the subdial i was looking at was correct for this. (Who cares, i know.) It is pretty tough.
     
  19. shishy www.hpmor.com Dec 20, 2021

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    yeah this is sort of why I stopped looking for pogues, it just got annoying having to be so paranoid
     
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  20. ewand Dec 21, 2021

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    I don't (entirely) agree and I've been collecting and writing about Pogues for a good few years, keeping an eye on their values too.

    If you're looking primarily on eBay then the game is bust - pretty much every 6139-600x on eBay is garbage. If they're not full of fake parts (knowingly by the seller or not, though most of the time it's the same offenders peddling knocked up watches with shyster descriptions like "Due the watches age some parts might have been replaced"), then they're in poor condition and will need money spending on them to get them running well. I've had a £250 watch from Venezuela (bought for its bracelet, if truth be told) cost me £400 to get running again.

    As for spotting fakes, I can understand why people are nervous as the aftermarket stuff is getting better looking (in photos at least), but a seasoned eye can spot tell-tales pretty quickly.

    eg:
    Seiko 6139-600x–part iii – The Pogue
    Seiko Pogue authentication part i – Bezels
    Seiko Pogue authentication part ii – Dials

    The Good Stuff is held close by knowledgeable collectors but does change hands through private sales and trades; I've thinned my collection a bit this year and was getting ~£900 for a good, serviced yellow-dial, RESIST 6139-6002 on correct (if not necessarily original to that watch) Seiko bracelet. True Pogues are not my bag (nor JDM ones) but I did sell a freshly-serviced Blue RESIST 6139-6005 on a decent Stelux President for £625, which was a bit of a bargain for the buyer IMHO. Similarly, I've paid >£1200 for a good Yellow PROOF 6000 which I knew to be running but not recently serviced.

    The supply of good watches appears to have dried up a bit - even the dealers like Hub City Vintage or DCVW have little to offer; maybe buyers are being tempted with bargains in the many other 6139 variants... why pay £1000 for a yellow Pogue when you could have a black 6139-6030 for half as much?
     
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