I have to agree. I am also of the mind that it was only recently I would say to friends, watch enthusiasts and collectors that when you bought a watch you knew it wasn't an investment but a personal and aesthetic choice and often your selection, after a long hunt, could be full of historical and enviable provenance. But never an investment per se; in deed, expect to sell it on for less or if you were lucky get your money back. So the hobby is being invaded by horological carpetbaggers (to put it kindly) to invest in selected brands, Patek, Rolex, VC among others where the rules of veblen goods favours them. I guess one of the questions I also have from what you say is where does the nascent watch hobbyist, with limited funds, turn to scratch the itch? Vintage? A minefield to walk and prices to match. Tier 2 & 3 watches? Cost factor again. Perhaps re-issues will open a door where the budding hobbyist can buy into a brand's historical context for a "reasonable" price suffice a lesser movement in most cases. I don't know, but I do know yours is a great post
@SpeedyPhill to get some thoughts on a topic that has been bubbling away for sometime now.
Is the hobby dead...? No I don't think so, but like old lawyers they just don't end abruptly they just lose their appeal.
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