It's Monday night here now, but I had some time on Sunday afternoon and I was wondering about whether the rate at which serial numbers were coming into this thread had changed over time - specifically, whether it had decreased - so I went back through the thread, made some notes, and started playing around with the numbers. I replaced missing digits in serial numbers with zeros. I only counted each serial when it was first reported (i.e., they weren't counted again if they were mentioned in a reply). But I didn't make any attempt to identify or remove duplicates other than that. For each serial, I made a note of the thread page they were reported on and the month and year of the post. I transformed the month and year to a month number starting with December, 2015, which is when
@blubarb kicked off the thread and hypothesised that production had ceased. I ended up with 172 serial numbers, distributed among the months since the thread started as below ...
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After a spike at the start of the thread, despite some month-to-month variability, it seems like serials have continued to come in at a reasonable rate. The average rate may even have slightly increased over recent months. There's certainly no strong evidence of it tapering off. What does this mean? Well, it's hard to say, because this is a function not only of the availability of Tintins, but also of the popularity of the thread. What's maybe more interesting is what I found when I looked at the dates that different serial numbers were first reported, as shown below...
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Serial numbers starting with 777 show up throughout the whole life of the thread, from the early months (at the bottom) to the late months (at the top). However, the action here is on the right-hand side. With the exception of just one example, serials starting with 778 and above cluster in the top right-hand corner. The bottom right-hand corner is virtually empty. Specifically, with just that one exception, Tintins with a serial number of 778 and higher only begin to show up (in this thread) in Month 14; which is January 2017. Is this possibly evidence of the release of a big batch of new Tintins around that time? I acknowledge that this might not be news to
@blubarb who has been diligently tracking the serial numbers, or to those who've been following the thread more closely than I. But I thought it was interesting to see the sudden appearance of lots of watches with those high serial numbers at a time that coincides with the beginning of a new calendar year, contrasted with their near-complete absence beforehand. Food for thought
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