Omega 2915-1 “Speedmaster” at UK Auction

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There is a lot of speculation here about whether promoting an obscure auction on OF can potentially increase the hammer price, and some people are demanding proof. In most cases, we are not in a position to prove the point one way or another, and people who like to post obscure active auction listings (actually, only a very small number of OF members do this) are deflecting criticism by claiming that everyone has seen every auction, so their threads have no effect. However, it takes a lot of time and effort to scour the internet for obscure local auctions and to look through all the listings of each auction catalog. Sometimes I do it, sometimes I don't. But if someone makes a deliberate effort to call my attention to a particular lot on OF, then I am very likely to pay attention, and bid if the watch interests me. To me, it is simple logic that promoting an obscure auction can potentially bring new bidders, which can influence the hammer price. It seems overwhelmingly likely to me that this has happened on some occasions, whether or not it was the case in this particular auction. You are free to disagree. And obviously some people posting in this thread feel that this is a good thing, increasing prices and making the market "flatter." Apparently I empathize more with collectors/bidders who are putting in the hard work trying to get a bargain, and less with the sellers and auctioneers, who are free to market their listings to the best of their abilities.

Like @gatorcpa, I would not promote an obscure auction in which I am planning to bid, and I think most people would agree with this, which suggests an intuitive belief that calling attention to the auction could influence the final price. For the same reason, I would also not be pleased if someone else promoted that auction for no real purpose. In return, I would not promote an obscure auction in which I don't plan to bid; it is a simple courtesy to other OF members who may be planning to bid. In my view, there is little value to posting the auction while it is still active. I would rather be courteous to other collectors, and wait until the auction has ended. In fact, I wonder what motivates this very small number of OF members who like to post these obscure auctions while they are still active, when they could just wait until the auction ends.

I appreciate that OF allows discussion of active auctions (as @dsio noted). It's fun to discuss Phillips/Antiquorum auctions and there's no harm done, and posting eBay listings of common models for newbies serves a real purpose. But I think people should weigh the pros and cons of promoting highly collectible lots in obscure active auctions. Obviously, people don't like the fact that I've criticized the OP and another member for doing this. They are free to continue to make these threads, but I think they (and others) should know that some OF members are bothered by the practice.
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Obviously, people don't like the fact that I've criticized the OP and another member for doing this, but I think they should know that some OF members are bothered by the practice.

We know already. It's been discussed many times...
 
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We know already. It's been discussed many times...
And apparently it will continue to be discussed, you don't have to read it. Respectfully, it's not like you to try to stifle discussion. Several newer members posting in this thread indicated that it was eye-opening.
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Dan, I do have the impression, there are two types of buyers for you: the "good ones" and the other....
 
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And apparently it will continue to be discussed, you don't have to read it. Respectfully, it's not like you to try to stifle discussion.

Not trying to stifle discussion, and I'm happy to put my perspective in any thread about it, just like you are.

My point is that this has been a long debated topic on this site, and the admins have decided a more open approach is what they want. Obviously people can disagree with it, just like I disagree with some other decisions made here. No site is perfect, and there will always be decisions made that people disagree with.

I don't know that debating it over again is going to change anything, but you can try I guess.
 
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Not trying to stifle discussion, and I'm happy to put my perspective in any thread about it, just like you are.

My point is that this has been a long debated topic on this site, and the admins have decided a more open approach is what they want. Obviously people can disagree with it, just like I disagree with some other decisions made here. No site is perfect, and there will always be decisions made that people disagree with.

I don't know that debating it over again is going to change anything, but you can try I guess.

If you read my previous post, I think you will see that I am not advocating for any policy change or debating with the admins, just expressing my opinion, which could potentially influence members to take a more nuanced approach towards making these threads. I appreciate that you (and @dsio) have a different perspective and opinion on this issue, and TBH I found your thoughts interesting, and they did open my mind. While we don't exactly agree on this point, I would not criticize you (directly or indirectly) for sharing your perspective.
 
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This already had bids over 10k. I would assume this would have reached this level regardless. And since it still sold kind of cheap I don’t think the promoting here made much difference. My experience as well is that most auction lots end up elsewhere even when advertised on forums. Still I do understand it is annoying when you want something and the auction gets highlighted. I just don’t think it matters that much.
 
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There is a lot of speculation here about whether promoting an obscure auction on OF can potentially increase the hammer price, and some people are demanding proof. In most cases, we are not in a position to prove the point one way or another, and people who like to post obscure active auction listings (actually, only a very small number of OF members do this) are deflecting criticism by claiming that everyone has seen every auction, so their threads have no effect. However, it takes a lot of time and effort to scour the internet for obscure local auctions and to look through all the listings of each auction catalog. Sometimes I do it, sometimes I don't. But if someone makes a deliberate effort to call my attention to a particular lot on OF, then I am very likely to pay attention, and bid if the watch interests me. To me, it is simple logic that promoting an obscure auction can potentially bring new bidders, which can influence the hammer price. It seems overwhelmingly likely to me that this has happened on some occasions, whether or not it was the case in this particular auction. You are free to disagree. And obviously some people posting in this thread feel that this is a good thing, increasing prices and making the market "flatter." Apparently I empathize more with collectors/bidders who are putting in the hard work trying to get a bargain, and less with the sellers and auctioneers, who are free to market their listings to the best of their abilities.

Like @gatorcpa, I would not promote an obscure auction in which I am planning to bid, and I think most people would agree with this, which suggests an intuitive belief that calling attention to the auction could influence the final price. For the same reason, I would also not be pleased if someone else promoted that auction for no real purpose. In return, I would not promote an obscure auction in which I don't plan to bid; it is a simple courtesy to other OF members who may be planning to bid. In my view, there is little value to posting the auction while it is still active. I would rather be courteous to other collectors, and wait until the auction has ended. In fact, I wonder what motivates this very small number of OF members who like to post these obscure auctions while they are still active, when they could just wait until the auction ends.

I appreciate that OF allows discussion of active auctions (as @dsio noted). It's fun to discuss Phillips/Antiquorum auctions and there's no harm done, and posting eBay listings of common models for newbies serves a real purpose. But I think people should weigh the pros and cons of promoting highly collectible lots in obscure active auctions. Obviously, people don't like the fact that I've criticized the OP and another member for doing this. They are free to continue to make these threads, but I think they (and others) should know that some OF members are bothered by the practice.

I second wholeheartedly.
Had a bad experience lately when a noob "promoted" an auction which might have well slipped below radar...
 
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There is a lot of speculation here about whether promoting an obscure auction on OF can potentially increase the hammer price, and some people are demanding proof

Don’t know who demanded proof.. I sure didn’t.

I came to talk about the watch. That’s the point of interest here not an extended dialogue of etiquette.

I’ve had items I was interested in discussed here and gone on to win them. I held no beef towards anyone that discussed it.

I’ve also been made aware of something I was interested in by a discussion here and gone on to win it. I was thankful to be made aware.

The concept of an auction is pretty simple. The highest bidder wins. I was an active bidder in the auction as well.

Again I apologise for any offence caused to you, or anyone who thinks I ruined their deal. May the best man win.
 
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I’ve also been made aware of something I was interested in by a discussion here and gone on to win it.
For the doubters like @PerJ, here is some proof that posting something on the forum can increase the hammer price.
 
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Can’t think that any auction is obscure these days, no matter how ‘under the radar’ people think something is, it’s not. That auction was listed on several auction aggregator sites, had a huge number of watchers on The Saleroom alone and was listed by my Google Alerts.

If someone had wanted to scalp the seller then they should have contacted the auction house direct, they’ll often withdraw items for a solid offer.

I like the fact that the seller got decent money and the buyer with the spare cash to throw around got the watch. Win-win, no one lost out.
 
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For the doubters like @PerJ, here is some proof that posting something on the forum can increase the hammer price.

Sorry, I don't mean to keep picking on you here Dan, but this is not proof of anything regarding the final auction price. For it to be "proof" you would have to know that the final bid price was different with the OP bidding, compared to him not bidding - there's just no way to "prove" that.

I think we all realize that publishing an auction that isn't widely publicized can increase the final price. I think the biggest thing here is that this particular auction was already well known.

William has already said it was a bargain, so to me this is more of a win-win, where the seller got a price that was more in line with what it was worth, and the buyer willingly paid what it cost, and still made out fine.
 
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For the doubters like @PerJ, here is some proof that posting something on the forum can increase the hammer price.


Ooh .. yah got me. I self incriminated myself… Drats.

Dan I honestly don’t know what your point here is. You keep missing mine.
 
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Dan I honestly don’t know what your point here is. You keep missing mine.

It's interesting that you think that the only way I could have a different opinion than you is if I don't understand you. I'm not missing your point, we just disagree.

It's unfortunate that you still don't understand my point, since I've made it over and over again, and I think pretty much everyone else gets it (whether or not they agree). But if you don't get it yet, I don't think you're going to get it, so I don't think there's any point in belaboring it further in this thread.
 
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I'm not missing your point, we just disagree. And I think pretty much everyone else understands my point, no need to belabor it further in this thread.

Yet you keep coming back to it. Perhaps move on.

I get it. I’ve apologised. You don’t like it. Shockingly enough in forums and in real life folks don’t always see eye to eye.

so anyway how about that caseback.
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For the doubters like @PerJ, here is some proof that posting something on the forum can increase the hammer price.
Sometimes it goes higher and sometimes it doesn’t. In this case I would bet that someone willing to pay 10k long before the auction ended probably had a few more bids to put in. But I agree that more exposure should drive a higher price. That’s just common sense.

As said before this auction was highlighted among collectors long before this thread. I heard through whatsapp-chats and some fairly big IG accounts also shared it last weekend. Therefore I doubt this thread made much difference to the final price. But who knows… I can for sure live without people driving attention to interesting stuff. I am just saying that I don’t think it had much effect this time. It sold for what it could be expected to sell for. Cheap for someone with the right parts to add.

I highly doubt OF has that many buyers willing to pay a five digit amount for a 2915-1 project which requires some very, very hard to find and expensive items. People bidding for this knew what it was and probably had connections enough to be informed of the sale. That is at least my guess.
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