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Well that's all very disappointing. There is no way I am paying over retail price, especially from one of these places that is acting as an unnecessary middleman and driving the prices up for everyone else. Guess I will look into used or keep my eyes out over the next few years for an AD that will sell at retail.
Doesn't make any sense why Rolex just doesn't increase production to keep the watches on the ADs shelves to meet demand and sell at retail all day long and increase their profits by moving more volume.
Rolex appears to have very shrewdly realized that in this day and age, mechanical watches are a positional good (goods valued according to how they are distributed in the population, and not by how many of those goods there are in total) and are leveraging the Veblen effect to drive up profit per unit in a way that more than offsets the profit forgone from selling fewer units. I remember when I was first starting my career, the Sub was the go to, "just go my first real bonus check" watch for new analysts. Those who considered themselves to be connoisseurs might go for a Speedy Pro instead 馃榾 . Seeing as how a new Sub now appears to sell for upward of $9K online, I wondered if maybe my memory was faulty. Nope, turns out the list price for a new Sub in 2000 was only ~$3K. That's ~$4.5K in today's dollars. So, Rolex has achieved a 100%+ increase in the real market price of one of their most popular models. I seriously doubt that they are seeing volumes that are down 50% relative to what they would have been at the old $4.5K price.
Good for Rolex. Not as good for would-be Rolex buyers I guess.
One of the reasons I want a new watch is change in bezel material. As noted also improved SS. But agree, I would imagine they have seen a significant increase in their profit margin.
I am still baffled why they just don't increase production to match demand. Yes, the scarcity of them has made them more desirable and allowed them to increase the price. But it's not like they would have to reduce the price if they upped production.
Perhaps this was part of their strategy. Keep them off the shelves and make most of new purchases come from gray market with prices over MSRP. Slowly raise MSRP. Once new MSRP is "locked in," increase production so anyone can walk into an AD and buy a sub for $10k vs. $5k 15 years ago. Stupid.
Rolex produces enough, they are just not rolling it out to the AD's. This phase will pass, just be patient.
We will see what Rolex's master plan is behind this, but in the long run models will be available at retail again. For whom and from where, that's the question.
If I were you, I'd just hold my cash for now and wait a year or two longer.
Cheers,
Max
Wait, you know this? Rolex is sitting like Smaug on 1M sport watches over the last 3 years. There hasnt been a decrease in production, they are all in a warehouse in Geneva?
Rolex produces enough, they are just not rolling it out to the AD's.
They aren't making any additional profits on watches sold above market by re-sellers.
True, but when the market price (actual transactions outside the official distribution channels) continually exceeds MSRP over a long period of time it provides cover for the manufacture to raise MSRP gradually to something more inline with the observed market price. In my opinion, this is how Rolex has managed to get the MSRP on a Sub from $3000 in 2000 to $8550 today (both for the date version). As I mentioned in my first post, inflation alone would have only taken the MSRP to $4500 over that time period all else equal.
Again, not bashing Rolex here. Good on them.
So where do you think these watches are going?