So a while back, I decided the stainless steel 321 is my end-game piece. (Skipping the apparent questions of should one buy the 321 and if there ever really is an end game watch)
I have called most US Boutiques and many many ADs, even one with a decent purchase history. Everything from impossible to even get on a list to maybe full deposit and in 2-3 years. Not the answers I was hoping for in my search. Could it be this difficult to get?
After watching the seeing youtube video "Hands-on: OMEGA Speedmaster "Ed White" Calibre 321 in stainless steel," I started doing some math from what GregoryKissling mentioned regarding the movement. It's possible this may be harder to get than I had planned.
Gregory states, it takes two days to make each movement and a 3rd day to case it up. So that's three days per watch. Suppose we add some estimates into this, like 260 workdays available in a year. These watch builders are most likely senior and have at least four weeks of a year and 20 or so public holidays. Leaving us with about 220 days available to each watchmaker. According to Gregory, only a team of 8 are building the 321's, so if it is three days per watch, they pump out a whopping 73 each or 586 as a team per year.
Gregory also went on to say they can make about 1000 pieces per year, so to get there, the math needs to bring them closer to a rate of one watch every two days. Now I'm sure there is plenty of wiggle room, and perhaps they are not getting 40 days off, but I'm sure COVID protocols are not helping. I'm starting to think the buzz on the internet about 1500-2000 pieces a year is wishful.
I don't think I want 15k held up to "maybe" have delivery in the next 2-3 years. I'm strongly looking at the gray market to pick this up before the price jumps higher as time goes on.
Will demand be satisfied over the next couple of years, and they are easy to get? I wish I knew.
What do you think a reliable grey purchase or keep hoping to "get the call."?
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