AQ 2998

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2998’s have been over the place at the last two years or so, but I think the demand for nice ones is returning.

For me the median price is around $25,000, obviously they can go much higher and lower than that but when I first see a 2998, I think $25,000 and then I go up or down from there. For that I would expect to get a dot over 90 watch in attractive condition.

This watch is offered by Antiquorum on a live auction in January 2023. Link here.





As we can see immediately there is a bezel, which may or may not be genuine, and has faded slightly brown. If I was trying to fool people with this kind of bezel, I would make it brown and I would keep it in my pocket full of stones. I’m not trying to fool people, but I think a lot of people who put Watches in auctions are.

The dial of this watch is correct for a -1, and this can be seen in the short indices on the minute subdial:



The hour markers have decayed to an unattractive green - and I would want to know the results from a Geiger meter, but I suspect they would be positive.

The hands have lume slots with square ends on the hour hand and round ends on the minute hand . This configuration was also seen in the recent Philip sale of a 2998 with a brown dial that sold for over $110,000 in the winter.

It doesn’t mean to say that it’s right, and in any event it means that I value it less than if it had the triangle lume hour hand .

The price of this watch is lowest estimate at €25,300. A European buyer would have to add VAT at 20% if it stays in Europe plus the premium. I’m pretty sure that if you went shopping for 2998 today US$26,000 in your pocket, I think you could come up with a better example than this. (Really it's $30k+ after fees)

One thing Phillips is pretty clever at, is making the initial estimates attractive. If this watch had been at Phillips they might have estimated it at CHF8 to CHF12,000 and then slap themselves on the back when it achieved CHF22 or CHF25,000.

we would also all have been considering it, but for me, not at this level.

I look forward to hearing what people think
 
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🍿

How does a person who wears a Speedmaster get chips on the inner ring of the bezel? There are no nicks on the steel ring that matches the outside edge nicks. Also, if the bezel took this much abuse wouldn't we expect nicks and scratches on the case to match the knuckle dragger? That case looks worked.

It's easy to discount the value of the bezel, but it leaves a stink thinking that the seller thinks so little of a potential buyer.

I learned about the pointy end lume slots from your blog. Since then I assume a square end is a service hand. Were there some 2998 alpha hands that came originally with square slot ends?

Those subregister hands may be original but they are so white that they are a bit distracting. In your experience do you think they could be original, ie are they typically this clean?

No bracelet or end link. 🙁

I normally really do not like any hint of green in lume. I've tried, especially when a watch is otherwise great. Having said that, i don't mind the color on this one. It sort of works for me. The lollipop looks nice. (Who doesn't love the lolli!)

Seeing the 'Show us your 2998s' and the similar 105.002 thread, it's tough to not compare every watch to the watches that forum members own and shared in those threads. This one doesn't come close, but it's as nice or nicer than many that pop up currently (not that I have seen a lot.)

As for price, the opening bid seems a bit cocksure.
 
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I'm always interested to hear your thinking, William. Many thanks. I don't know enough about 2998s to even comment, but I am starting to learn.
 
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2998’s have been over the place at the last two years or so, but I think the demand for nice ones is returning.

For me the median price is around $25,000, obviously they can go much higher and lower than that but when I first see a 2998, I think $25,000 and then I go up or down from there. For that I would expect to get a dot over 90 watch in attractive condition.

This watch is offered by Antiquorum on a live auction in January 2023. Link here.





As we can see immediately there is a bezel, which may or may not be genuine, and has faded slightly brown. If I was trying to fool people with this kind of bezel, I would make it brown and I would keep it in my pocket full of stones. I’m not trying to fool people, but I think a lot of people who put Watches in auctions are.

The dial of this watch is correct for a -1, and this can be seen in the short indices on the minute subdial:



The hour markers have decayed to an unattractive green - and I would want to know the results from a Geiger meter, but I suspect they would be positive.

The hands have lume slots with square ends on the hour hand and round ends on the minute hand . This configuration was also seen in the recent Philip sale of a 2998 with a brown dial that sold for over $110,000 in the winter.

It doesn’t mean to say that it’s right, and in any event it means that I value it less than if it had the triangle lume hour hand .

The price of this watch is lowest estimate at €25,300. A European buyer would have to add VAT at 20% if it stays in Europe plus the premium. I’m pretty sure that if you went shopping for 2998 today US$26,000 in your pocket, I think you could come up with a better example than this. (Really it's $30k+ after fees)

One thing Phillips is pretty clever at, is making the initial estimates attractive. If this watch had been at Phillips they might have estimated it at CHF8 to CHF12,000 and then slap themselves on the back when it achieved CHF22 or CHF25,000.

we would also all have been considering it, but for me, not at this level.

I look forward to hearing what people think

I think we should assume the bezel is not legitimate, and even if it were, the correct bezel will never be found. If you found one, how much to buy it? The dial is not one of the more attractive I’ve seen. I’d expect it to bring less than 20 as it is. Truthfully, I think 15 is closer. But there’s not much supply of -1s. I’d MUCH prefer an attractive-4,5,6 than this one at the same price.

Did you mention the much-too-white sub dial hands and sweep hand?
Edited:
 
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@Spacefruit!

Its always nice when you find a watch and do your comments on them! Lots for me to learn from...
Please keep on with this?😀
This reference is way out of my league, but in the future maybe?

Are you planing to go to the viewing next week?
 
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For context this is my current wearer, a 2998-6

Obviously it has the later dial compared to the OP watch, but for me this is a 2998 worth having

a quick thought on the alpha hands - sharp cut square end slots in flat hands indicate service hands.
I have seen some original hands with what look square ends, but curved hands. On very close inspection the square cutouts are not as sharp. So it is a little fluid.

however in terms of value, the handset with the triangle lume, transverse curve will always be valued more in my eyes.

 
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I was scrolling down AQ auction and when I saw that 2998 it caught my attention. It's simply the lollipop and I can not make anything about it. Always got me interested. Then I saw starting bid and it was quick and easy no, as I saw one of William's recent 2998 for sale which was really an attractive watch and for the same price.
 
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Also it is an earlier 2998 but the most valuable thing is not present here. And I'm not convinced by this brown-ish substitute.