This is what happens with LEs and a culture of flipping, following the wake of the Snoopy and Speedy Tuesday bubble. I have no doubt a lot of the Trilogy being flipped were purchased above market during the hype of the initial release. Then, no surprise, all the flippers are scrambling to sell the bottom a few years later. IMO, the same cycle is going to repeat with the 50th anniversary release (with the exception that I think prices will remain suppressed for the 50th, because it is an awful design with no heritage).
That said, the Railmaster was going for £3.3 - 3.6k from quite early on and the Seamaster is going for around £4 - 4.2k these days. The Speedmaster pre-owned, at least in the UK, has been holding above £4.5k consistently from day one - and that's around 90% of MSRP, which isn't bad at all.
Although, I admit it is unusual walking into a boutique and still seeing the Trilogy Railmaster or Seamaster on the display, I don't think pricing it lower would make a substantial difference - it is simply not the most attractive modern watch (except to a niche). The Speedmaster Trilogy is far more versatile IMO.
I still think it is foolish to decide the market price is a "fail" after 2 years of release, because this is the flipper mindset. For me, it's equivalently irrational for instance to state that the Snoopy is fairly priced at £20k 3-4 years after release. With watches, the most reliable measure of supply/demand for any release in the thousands of units tends to be felt over the long term - 10/20+ years, and anything in between is noise. If you want my opinion, I've little doubt that the Speedmaster is going to be a winner in the long term (barring a strong decline in the brand or watch industry).
This from a few weeks ago
Thanks for that, I do now remember seeing this thread but would still like to hear any other opinions re the 60th Anni selling prices.
Hi
Chrono24 has a feature that lets you track watch prices over time which I find helpful. Here is the watch:
Hope this helps.
About 5 grand or just under in the UK is a fair bet - so just under mrsp.
There are lots out there at silly prices that don’t budge.
That's about what I thought was going the going rate for an unused watch.
I am guessing you are in the UK market? These were cheap here to start with vs the ROW and the pound’s collapse has made our stuff seem cheaper still so near in mind that as the pound goes lower these are actually firming for a UK seller willing to export. Around 6 months ago I would have priced a nearly new one at £4.5k which would then have been around $6k. Today that $6k is £5k. In 3 months it may be £5.5k. Of course the flip is that watches in the ROW are now like 15-25% more than they were a year ago!
You think you have problems: I thinking HONG Kong should be even cheaper with the unrest and the mainland Chinese staying away
Which is about a grand more than the OP seems to want to pay...
