Don't fret. You'll develop an eye over time, but it does take patience. Start at
page one of the WRUW thread and by the time you get to the end, you'll have a good idea of what to look for. If you're worried about paying the noob tax, research a marque that carries less of a premium. There's nothing wrong with training your vintage eye on Mido, Certina, Eterna, Tissot, Gruen, Hamilton, and many others.
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