I've been wondering which members were celebrities.
You forgot an important factor, whether the watch is actually desirable.[/QUOTE
From my observation, a watch does not have to be desirable when introduced. Overtime they become valuable. Often an undesirable watch later becomes that sought after reference Many watches, probably the most famous is the Patek Nautilus, not a big seller when it was introduced. Now look at the values.
This an Omega forum, so look at almost all the limited edition moon watches. Most lingered below retail and then suddenly the collectors learn of a piece, production of the watch stops, and the price increases. Recently I watched diver 300m Tokyo 2020 white dial ,blue hands , blue bezel another example of a watch that seemed to sit now go find one at MSRP , all gone from the retailers, over retail pricing on C24.
Many limited edition rare and unique pieces from any manufacturer were not easy to sell, maybe were not desirable at retail, but later the value escalated. Vintage watches have a different scope of valuation, but I will go back to what I mentioned earlier and that is that if the piece is rare against the other items in the catalog, unique in some form, limited in number produced, or something difficult to obtain it may increase in value but there has to be a fan base for that brand and the watch.
From the perspective of the OP, the watch is easy to obtain, not limited in number produced, not very unique against the the same examples of the reference, and never difficult to obtain. It's actually a very nice watch with a technical movement and some hints of haute horology in the dial design, but I feel today most collectors focus on moonwatch editions. This racing edition may become a sub set that we see future collectors go for, and in the case of this reference it may come down to the dial you choose as the future collectible.
