Luck = experience + knowledge + opportunity.
In my experience, sometimes something just speaks to you, and for some reason you buy it. You may not know why at the time but it turns out something about it triggered a subconscious response.
One night, I bought a Speedmaster. 145.022-69 but DNN, slightly banged up shape but it was one-owner and I liked it. Paid what I thought might be a bit too much, but it was on a nice-looking 1039. Later that night, I couldn't sleep, and checked the photos of the watch again looking for problems. That was when I discovered that I'd just purchased a 220
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